Deisenhofenvs
Erlbach
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 4/27/2024, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Erlbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Deisenhofen are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Erlbach are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Erlbach
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40