Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deinze · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Deinze are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Oostende are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Deinze hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.3% in the Challenger Pro League, while Deinze holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Deinze
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Deinze has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20