GGOALVIO

Belgium · Reserve Pro League · 9/22/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lommel U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Deinze U21 are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Lommel U21 are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lommel U21 hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Reserve Pro League, while Lommel U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lommel U21

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Lommel U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deinze U21LD

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/2.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Lommel U21DL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.50/2.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Deinze U21Lommel U21
52.6Attack73.3
37.2Defence33.3
43.6Form42.7
46.1Power49.2
2.34xG2.65
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