Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dečić · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Dečić 1-0 Petrovac, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Dečić 1-1 Petrovac
Original prediction
Dečić
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 38.7% | 46.2% | 7.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.73 | 33.1% | 29.9% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 3.20 | 28.2% | 23.8% | -4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.73 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.6 pts
Projected Score
Dečić 1–0 Petrovac
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Dečić
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Dečić has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DečićLWWWW
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
PetrovacDDDWD
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
DečićPetrovac
50.9Attack0.0
75.0Defence100.0
64.8Form33.3
64.4Power45.3
1.41xG0.52