Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dečić · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Dečić 1-0 Jezero, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Dečić 2-1 Jezero
Original prediction
Dečić
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 59.2% | 51.5% | -7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.9% | 28.0% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 6.07 | 14.9% | 20.5% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.7 pts
Projected Score
Dečić 1–0 Jezero
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Dečić
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
Dečić has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DečićWWWLL
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
JezeroDLWWL
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
DečićJezero
50.9Attack0.0
75.0Defence100.0
64.8Form33.3
64.4Power45.3
1.41xG0.52