UEFA Europa Conference LeagueUEFA Europa Conference League
Wednesday, 15 July 2026Last updated 10:11
Dečić

Dečić

Home
LL
12
Full time
FK Liepaja

FK Liepaja

Away
WW
Stadion Tuško Polje
GoalVio prediction
38% confidence
FK Liepaja(35%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction correct— Result: FK Liepaja
Win probability
Dečić
37%
Draw
29%
FK Liepaja
35%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Dečić
18
FK Liepaja
54
Defence
Dečić
46
FK Liepaja
82
Momentum
Dečić
0
FK Liepaja
100
Danger (xG)
Dečić
0.45
FK Liepaja
1.35
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Dečić)
0.45
avg per match
xG for (FK Liepaja)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Dečić)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (FK Liepaja)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
DečićDečić
LLL
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
WWWLW

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Dečić37%
Draw29%
FK Liepaja35%

Dečić leads with 37% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Dečić head into this in UEFA Europa Conference League fixture at Stadion Tuško Polje in mixed form (LL), while FK Liepaja arrive in decent form (WW). Dečić have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for FK Liepaja over 2 games.

The model rates Dečić's attack at 18/100 against a 82/100 FK Liepaja defence, and FK Liepaja's attack at 54/100 against a 46/100 Dečić backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Dečić have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. FK Liepaja have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

FK Liepaja have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 2 of the last 2 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects FK Liepaja to win with 38% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Dečić 3650%, Draw 2893%, FK Liepaja 3457%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Dečić 0Draws 02 FK Liepaja
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/2
15 Jul 2026
Dečić
L12
FK Liepaja
9 Jul 2026
Dečić
L01
FK Liepaja

Recent form

Dečić

Dečić

L
vs FK Liepaja
15 Jul 2026
12
L
@ FK Liepaja
9 Jul 2026
01
L
@ Sutjeska
16 May 2026
01
FK Liepaja

FK Liepaja

W
@ Dečić
15 Jul 2026
21
W
vs Dečić
9 Jul 2026
10
W
vs Ogre United
30 Jun 2026
40
L
vs Rīgas FS
26 Jun 2026
02
W
vs BFC Daugavpils
17 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Dečić vs FK Liepaja?

GoalVio's model predicts FK Liepaja to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Dečić vs FK Liepaja?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Dečić vs FK Liepaja?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Dečić vs FK Liepaja?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more