Degerfors IFvs
Kalmar FF
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 10/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Degerfors IF · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Degerfors IF 0-0 Kalmar FF, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Degerfors IF 1-2 Kalmar FF
Original prediction
Degerfors IF
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.88 | 32.3% | 38.0% | 5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 29.1% | 29.4% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 38.6% | 32.6% | -5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.7 pts
Projected Score
Degerfors IF 0–0 Kalmar FF
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Degerfors IF
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Degerfors IF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Degerfors IFDDLLW
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Kalmar FFLDLLL
GF 0 · GA 8 · avg 0.00/1.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Degerfors IFKalmar FF
29.0Attack30.4
49.3Defence46.4
29.0Form27.5
37.6Power36.8
1.00xG0.85