Degerfors IFvs
Hammarby FF
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 9/20/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hammarby FF · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Degerfors IF 0-2 Hammarby FF, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Degerfors IF 0-1 Hammarby FF
Original prediction
Hammarby FF
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.50 | 10.9% | 7.8% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 5.28 | 17.6% | 15.2% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 1.30 | 71.4% | 77.0% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Projected Score
Degerfors IF 0–2 Hammarby FF
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Hammarby FF
Probability
77.0%
Model confidence
77.0%
Hammarby FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Degerfors IFLWLLW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Hammarby FFWDLWW
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Degerfors IFHammarby FF
30.2Attack76.2
47.6Defence68.3
30.2Form63.5
37.8Power67.0
0.57xG2.39