GGOALVIO

Sweden · Allsvenskan · 9/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Degerfors IF · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Degerfors IF 1-0 Halmstad, with an exact score probability of 15%.

Prediction record

Final result

Degerfors IF 2-0 Halmstad

Original prediction

Degerfors IF

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9248.7%47.8%-0.8 pts
Draw3.4027.4%27.8%0.4 pts
Away3.9023.9%24.3%0.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.8 pts

Projected Score

Degerfors IF 1–0 Halmstad

Exact score probability: 15%

Predicted outcome

Degerfors IF

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

Degerfors IF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Degerfors IFLLWWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
HalmstadWWDLL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Degerfors IFHalmstad
29.8Attack22.8
45.6Defence38.6
28.1Form19.3
36.4Power30.3
1.20xG0.79
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