GGOALVIO

Sweden · Allsvenskan · 4/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AIK Stockholm · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Degerfors IF are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while AIK Stockholm are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and AIK Stockholm hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (35.7 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the Allsvenskan, while AIK Stockholm holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AIK Stockholm

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

AIK Stockholm has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Degerfors IFLWLWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
AIK StockholmWDWWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Degerfors IFAIK Stockholm
29.2Attack45.8
43.8Defence50.0
27.1Form52.1
35.7Power51.9
0.89xG1.49
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