Defensores Wvs
Flamengo FBC W
COMPLETEDPeru · Liga Women · 9/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flamengo FBC W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Defensores W 2-1 Flamengo FBC W
Original prediction
Flamengo FBC W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.22 | 12.3% | 24.2% | 11.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.03 | 17.6% | 24.7% | 7.1 pts |
| Away | 1.26 | 70.1% | 51.1% | -19.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Flamengo FBC W
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
Flamengo FBC W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 22 · avg 0.80/4.40
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00