GGOALVIO

Peru · Liga Women · 4/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FBC Melgar W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Lowconfidence

Defensores W are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.33 conceded, while FBC Melgar W are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FBC Melgar W hold a 27.7-point power-rating edge (20.2 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.9% in the Liga Women, while FBC Melgar W holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FBC Melgar W

Probability

77.5%

Model confidence

8.9%

FBC Melgar W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensores WLLD

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.67/2.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
FBC Melgar WWL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/2.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 2/2
Defensores WFBC Melgar W
33.3Attack66.7
0.0Defence38.1
23.8Form47.6
20.2Power47.9
1.30xG3.81
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