GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 4/14/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sportivo Italiano · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Defensores Unidos are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sportivo Italiano are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Italiano hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 28.4% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while Sportivo Italiano holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sportivo Italiano

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

28.4%

Sportivo Italiano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensores UnidosDWDLD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Sportivo ItalianoDWWLD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Defensores UnidosSportivo Italiano
27.6Attack36.8
59.8Defence74.7
29.9Form56.3
41.5Power58.0
0.43xG0.86
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