GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 3/21/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Defensores Unidos are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Real Pilar are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Pilar hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.7% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

23.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensores UnidosDLDLD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Real PilarWLWLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Defensores UnidosReal Pilar
27.6Attack37.9
59.8Defence64.4
29.9Form50.6
41.5Power53.6
0.61xG0.88
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