Defensores Unidosvs
Deportivo Merlo
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 4/25/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Defensores Unidos are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Deportivo Merlo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Merlo hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 45.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.3% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
18.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20