GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 4/25/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Defensores Unidos are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Deportivo Merlo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Merlo hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 45.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.3% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.9%

Model confidence

18.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensores UnidosLWDWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Deportivo MerloWDWDL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Defensores UnidosDeportivo Merlo
27.6Attack37.9
59.8Defence48.3
29.9Form42.5
41.5Power45.2
0.91xG0.86
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