Defensores Unidosvs
Argentino Quilmes
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 10/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Defensores Unidos 0-0 Argentino Quilmes, with an exact score probability of 34%.
Prediction record
Final result
Defensores Unidos 1-1 Argentino Quilmes
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 38.8% | 35.4% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.74 | 32.8% | 37.2% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 3.16 | 28.4% | 27.4% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.74 · Draw 1.74 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Projected Score
Defensores Unidos 0–0 Argentino Quilmes
Exact score probability: 34%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60