GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 3/26/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Defensores Glew · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Defensores Glew are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LLDW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Nautico Hacoaj are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WLLW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensores Glew hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (71.6 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Defensores Glew holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Defensores Glew

Probability

49.9%

Model confidence

49.9%

Defensores Glew has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensores GlewLLDW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
Nautico HacoajWLLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.50/1.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Defensores GlewNautico Hacoaj
80.0Attack33.3
76.7Defence84.8
66.7Form54.5
71.6Power58.9
1.15xG0.42
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