GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/12/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Defensores de Vilelas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Defensores de Vilelas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tucuman Central are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensores de Vilelas hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.3% in the Torneo Federal A, while Defensores de Vilelas holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Defensores de Vilelas

Probability

50.0%

Model confidence

15.3%

Defensores de Vilelas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensores de VilelasDWLWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Tucuman CentralDLDLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Defensores de VilelasTucuman Central
46.3Attack27.8
50.0Defence55.6
42.6Form33.3
47.4Power40.9
1.36xG0.75
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