GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/3/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Defensores de Vilelas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Defensores de Vilelas are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sarmiento Resistencia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensores de Vilelas hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 38.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the Torneo Federal A, while Defensores de Vilelas holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Defensores de Vilelas

Probability

59.7%

Model confidence

13.7%

Defensores de Vilelas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensores de VilelasLWLWL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Sarmiento ResistenciaWLWLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Defensores de VilelasSarmiento Resistencia
50.9Attack26.3
47.4Defence49.1
45.6Form31.6
49.2Power38.5
1.73xG0.74
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