GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 4/13/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Defensores de Vilelas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Defensores de Vilelas are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Sarmiento Resistencia are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensores de Vilelas hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 38.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the Torneo Federal A, while Defensores de Vilelas holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Defensores de Vilelas

Probability

59.7%

Model confidence

13.7%

Defensores de Vilelas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensores de VilelasWWL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Sarmiento ResistenciaDDLLL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Defensores de VilelasSarmiento Resistencia
50.9Attack26.3
47.4Defence49.1
45.6Form31.6
49.2Power38.5
1.73xG0.74
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