GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 5/9/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Defensores de Vilelas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Bartolomé Mitre are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bartolomé Mitre hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 55.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.7% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

23.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensores de VilelasWLLDW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Bartolomé MitreDWDDW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Defensores de VilelasBartolomé Mitre
50.9Attack25.9
47.4Defence83.3
45.6Form50.0
49.2Power55.2
0.73xG0.77
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