Defensores de CambaceresvsVictoriano Arenas

COMPLETED

Argentina · Primera C · 10/2/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Defensores de Cambaceres 0-0 Victoriano Arenas, with an exact score probability of 42%.

Final result

Defensores de Cambaceres 0-1 Victoriano Arenas

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50

Market	Odds	Implied probability	Model probability	Difference
Home	2.79	32.5%	27.6%	-4.9 pts
Draw	2.71	33.4%	40.5%	7.1 pts
Away	2.66	34.1%	31.9%	-2.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

7.1 pts

Projected Score

Defensores de Cambaceres 0–0 Victoriano Arenas

Exact score probability: 42%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

40.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Defensores de CambaceresLDWWD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5

Victoriano ArenasDWLDD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5

Defensores de CambaceresVictoriano Arenas

27.8Attack25.6

66.7Defence78.9

40.0Form45.6

46.5Power52.4

0.40xG0.48