Defensores de Cambaceresvs
Sportivo Barracas
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 9/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Defensores de Cambaceres 0-0 Sportivo Barracas, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Defensores de Cambaceres 1-0 Sportivo Barracas
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 33.8% | 31.8% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.64 | 33.9% | 33.9% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.77 | 32.3% | 34.2% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Projected Score
Defensores de Cambaceres 0–0 Sportivo Barracas
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.9%
Model confidence
34.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60