GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera C · 5/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Defensores de Cambaceres are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Mercedes are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Mercedes hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 54.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.0% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.9%

Model confidence

34.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensores de CambaceresDDLWW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MercedesDDDWD

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Defensores de CambaceresMercedes
27.5Attack33.3
62.3Defence79.7
36.2Form47.8
44.0Power54.2
0.40xG0.71
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