Defensores De Belgranovs
Racing Cordoba
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/4/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Defensores De Belgrano 0-0 Racing Cordoba, with an exact score probability of 36%.
Prediction record
Final result
Defensores De Belgrano 3-0 Racing Cordoba
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 51.1% | 34.1% | -17.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 30.4% | 38.1% | 7.7 pts |
| Away | 5.00 | 18.4% | 27.8% | 9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.7 pts
Projected Score
Defensores De Belgrano 0–0 Racing Cordoba
Exact score probability: 36%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60