GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 9/9/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Defensores De Belgrano 0-0 Los Andes, with an exact score probability of 48%.

Prediction record

Final result

Defensores De Belgrano 1-1 Los Andes

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0345.1%28.2%-16.9 pts
Draw2.8132.6%43.9%11.2 pts
Away4.1022.4%28.0%5.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.81 · Draw 1.81 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

11.2 pts

Projected Score

Defensores De Belgrano 0–0 Los Andes

Exact score probability: 48%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

43.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensores De BelgranoWLLDL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Los AndesDDLLL

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Defensores De BelgranoLos Andes
23.5Attack24.7
70.4Defence81.5
35.8Form43.2
45.1Power51.2
0.33xG0.41
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