Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional
Saturday, 18 July 202619:00Updated today
Defensores De Belgrano

Defensores De Belgrano

Home
LW
vs
19:00
Los Andes

Los Andes

Away
W
Estadio Juan Pasquale
GoalVio prediction
42% confidence
Draw(31%)
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Defensores De Belgrano
27%
Draw
31%
Los Andes
42%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Defensores De Belgrano
34
Los Andes
94
Defence
Defensores De Belgrano
66
Los Andes
66
Momentum
Defensores De Belgrano
50
Los Andes
100
Danger (xG)
Defensores De Belgrano
0.90
Los Andes
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Defensores De Belgrano)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Los Andes)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Defensores De Belgrano)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Los Andes)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Defensores De BelgranoDefensores De Belgrano
LW
Los AndesLos Andes
WLW

Probability breakdown

42% confidence
Defensores De Belgrano27%
Draw31%
Los Andes42%

Los Andes leads with 42% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Defensores De Belgrano head into this in Primera Nacional fixture at Estadio Juan Pasquale in mixed form (LW), while Los Andes arrive in mixed form (W). Defensores De Belgrano have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for Los Andes over 1 games.

Tactically, Los Andes hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a solid Defensores De Belgrano defence (66/100), while Defensores De Belgrano's attack faces a solid Los Andes backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Defensores De Belgrano have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Los Andes have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Defensores De Belgrano and Los Andes in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 42% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Defensores De Belgrano 2707%, Draw 3050%, Los Andes 4243%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Defensores De Belgrano

Defensores De Belgrano

L
@ Godoy Cruz
12 Jul 2026
01
W
vs Deportivo Moron
4 Jul 2026
21
Los Andes

Los Andes

W
vs Ciudad de Bolívar
11 Jul 2026
31
L
@ Deportivo Madryn
21 Jun 2026
12
W
vs Godoy Cruz
16 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Defensores De Belgrano vs Los Andes?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 42% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Defensores De Belgrano vs Los Andes?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Defensores De Belgrano vs Los Andes?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Defensores De Belgrano vs Los Andes?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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