Defensores De Belgranovs
Deportivo Madryn
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/14/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Madryn · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Defensores De Belgrano 0-0 Deportivo Madryn, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
Defensores De Belgrano 2-1 Deportivo Madryn
Original prediction
Deportivo Madryn
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 42.5% | 25.5% | -17.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.81 | 32.6% | 34.0% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.66 | 25.0% | 40.5% | 15.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.5 pts
Projected Score
Defensores De Belgrano 0–0 Deportivo Madryn
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Madryn
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Deportivo Madryn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80