GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 5/18/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Defensores De Belgrano are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Chaco For Ever are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensores De Belgrano hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.0% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

52.0%

Model confidence

52.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensores De BelgranoLDLLD

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chaco For EverLLDDW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Defensores De BelgranoChaco For Ever
22.2Attack30.4
70.8Defence59.4
36.1Form31.9
45.3Power42.8
0.59xG0.49
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