GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 5/2/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Defensores De Belgrano are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Central Norte are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensores De Belgrano hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 13% BTTS chance and 6% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

50.7%

Model confidence

41.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensores De BelgranoLLDWD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Central NorteLLDLW

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Defensores De BelgranoCentral Norte
23.2Attack21.7
69.6Defence65.2
36.2Form33.3
45.3Power42.8
0.53xG0.37
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