GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 3/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Defensores De Belgrano are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Atletico Mitre are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 46.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

50.5%

Model confidence

50.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensores De BelgranoWWDDL

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Atletico MitreDDWLD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Defensores De BelgranoAtletico Mitre
23.2Attack33.3
69.6Defence61.1
36.2Form38.9
45.3Power46.0
0.59xG0.56
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