GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 3/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Defensores De Belgrano are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Atletico DE Rafaela are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico DE Rafaela hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 12% BTTS chance and 5% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

53.2%

Model confidence

44.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensores De BelgranoDWWDD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Atletico DE RafaelaLWWWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Defensores De BelgranoAtletico DE Rafaela
23.2Attack25.0
69.6Defence73.6
36.2Form47.2
45.3Power51.1
0.39xG0.43
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