Defensores De Belgranovs
Acassuso
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/11/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Defensores De Belgrano · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Defensores De Belgrano 0-0 Acassuso, with an exact score probability of 37%.
Prediction record
Final result
Defensores De Belgrano 0-3 Acassuso
Original prediction
Defensores De Belgrano
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 56.6% | 43.5% | -13.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.8% | 37.2% | 10.4 pts |
| Away | 5.51 | 16.6% | 19.2% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.0 pts
Projected Score
Defensores De Belgrano 0–0 Acassuso
Exact score probability: 37%
Predicted outcome
Defensores De Belgrano
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Defensores De Belgrano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60