Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 4/26/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Defensores de Belgrano VR are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sportivo Las Parejas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensores de Belgrano VR hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (53.8 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00