Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 6/21/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Defensores de Belgrano VR · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Defensores de Belgrano VR are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Independiente De Chivilcoy are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensores de Belgrano VR hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (53.8 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the Torneo Federal A, while Defensores de Belgrano VR holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Defensores de Belgrano VR
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
Defensores de Belgrano VR has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60