Defensores de Belgrano VRvs
Gimnasia Concepción
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 3/22/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Defensores de Belgrano VR are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Gimnasia Concepción are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensores de Belgrano VR hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (53.8 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 29.1% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
29.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20