Defensor Sportingvs
Plaza Colonia
COMPLETEDUruguay · Copa Uruguay · 9/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Defensor Sporting · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Defensor Sporting 0-1 Plaza Colonia
Original prediction
Defensor Sporting
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Defensor Sporting
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Defensor Sporting has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Defensor SportingWDDLD
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Plaza ColoniaLWWLW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Defensor SportingPlaza Colonia
60.0Attack33.3
80.0Defence66.7
86.7Form50.0
77.7Power53.0
1.65xG0.82