Defensor SportingvsPenarol

Defensor Sporting are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Penarol are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Penarol hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.3% in the Primera División, while Penarol holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.