Defensor Sportingvs
Fenix
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 2/7/2023, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Defensor Sporting are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LLDL), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Fenix are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensor Sporting hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 40.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.1% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.25/2.25
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00