GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/10/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Defensa Y Justicia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Defensa Y Justicia are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Vitoria are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensa Y Justicia hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (65.1 v 45.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Defensa Y Justicia holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Defensa Y Justicia

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

48.3%

Defensa Y Justicia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensa Y JusticiaLDLLW

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
VitoriaLDLLW

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Defensa Y JusticiaVitoria
58.3Attack16.7
61.1Defence77.8
72.2Form33.3
65.1Power45.6
1.30xG0.64
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