GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 2/14/2026, 1:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Velez Sarsfield · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Defensa Y Justicia are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Velez Sarsfield are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Velez Sarsfield hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.4% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Velez Sarsfield holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Velez Sarsfield

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

22.4%

Velez Sarsfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensa Y JusticiaWDWDW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Velez SarsfieldWDWWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Defensa Y JusticiaVelez Sarsfield
38.3Attack38.1
55.0Defence76.2
43.3Form60.3
47.5Power61.0
0.57xG0.98
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