Defensa Y Justiciavs
Universidad Catolica
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/14/2025, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Defensa Y Justicia are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Universidad Catolica are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensa Y Justicia hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (65.1 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60