Defensa Y JusticiavsPenarol

Defensa Y Justicia are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Penarol are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensa Y Justicia hold a 40.9-point power-rating edge (65.1 v 24.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Defensa Y Justicia holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.