Defensa Y Justiciavs
Millonarios
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 6/30/2023, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Defensa Y Justicia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Defensa Y Justicia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Millonarios are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensa Y Justicia hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (65.1 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Defensa Y Justicia holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Defensa Y Justicia
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Defensa Y Justicia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20