GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 10/4/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

LDU de Quito · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Defensa Y Justicia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while LDU de Quito are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 65.1 against 65.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while LDU de Quito holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

LDU de Quito

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

LDU de Quito has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensa Y JusticiaLDWDW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LDU de QuitoWWLWL

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Defensa Y JusticiaLDU de Quito
58.3Attack54.8
61.1Defence81.0
72.2Form61.9
65.1Power65.4
0.92xG1.16
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