Defensa Y Justiciavs
Instituto Cordoba
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 10/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Defensa Y Justicia 0-0 Instituto Cordoba, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Defensa Y Justicia 0-1 Instituto Cordoba
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 37.4% | 34.9% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 30.7% | 30.3% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 31.9% | 34.8% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Projected Score
Defensa Y Justicia 0–0 Instituto Cordoba
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.3%
Model confidence
34.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60