Defensa Y JusticiavsIndependiente Medellin

Defensa Y Justicia are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Independiente Medellin are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensa Y Justicia hold a 28.6-point power-rating edge (65.1 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Defensa Y Justicia holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.