Defensa Y Justiciavs
Gimnasia M.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 9/11/2026, 10:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Defensa Y Justicia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Defensa Y Justicia 0-0 Gimnasia M., with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Defensa Y Justicia 2-0 Gimnasia M.
Original prediction
Defensa Y Justicia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 45.4% | 37.6% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 28.8% | 31.0% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.63 | 25.8% | 31.4% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.8 pts
Projected Score
Defensa Y Justicia 0–0 Gimnasia M.
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Defensa Y Justicia
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Defensa Y Justicia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20