Defensa Y JusticiavsEmelec

Defensa Y Justicia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Emelec are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensa Y Justicia hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (65.1 v 52.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Defensa Y Justicia holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.