GGOALVIO

Argentina · Copa Argentina · 4/1/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Defensa Y Justicia · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Defensa Y Justicia are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Chaco For Ever are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensa Y Justicia hold a 19.0-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Copa Argentina, while Defensa Y Justicia holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Defensa Y Justicia

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

13.5%

Defensa Y Justicia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensa Y JusticiaWWDDD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Chaco For EverLDLLD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Defensa Y JusticiaChaco For Ever
50.0Attack33.3
16.7Defence33.3
50.0Form0.0
42.7Power23.7
1.50xG1.13
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