GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/30/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Defensa Y Justicia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Defensa Y Justicia are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Cesar Vallejo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensa Y Justicia hold a 27.8-point power-rating edge (65.1 v 37.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Defensa Y Justicia holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Defensa Y Justicia

Probability

68.7%

Model confidence

68.7%

Defensa Y Justicia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensa Y JusticiaLDDLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Cesar VallejoWDDDL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Defensa Y JusticiaCesar Vallejo
58.3Attack52.4
61.1Defence19.0
72.2Form33.3
65.1Power37.3
2.63xG0.97
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